Foresight’s Editorial team and Advisory Board make it possible for us to bring our readers the very best combination of research from top academics and insights drawn from earned experience from business forecasters in the field. They’re an impressive group — read on to meet them!
Foresight Editorial Team
Len Tashman, Editor
Dr. Len Tashman is an internationally recognized teacher, author, editor, and consultant, with more than 30 years of experience in business forecasting. Len is the founding and continuing editor of Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, now in its 10th year of publication. He serves on the Board of Directors of the International Institute of Forecasters and is organizer and chair of the Forecasting in Practice Track at the annual International Symposium on Forecasting. Len is an emeritus professor of business administration at the University of Vermont and Director of the Center for Business Forecasting.
Stephan Kolassa, Associate Editor
Stephan Kolassa is a Research Expert at SAP AG in Switzerland. He is responsible for the statistical and time series analysis aspects in developing software for automatic and robust causal forecasting of daily SKU/store level data in the retail sector. He is also involved in research for downstream forecast-based processes, such as price optimization, assortment planning and replenishment. Stephan is also a member of Foresight’s Advisory Board, and serves on the Board of Directors of the International Institute of Forecasters. In his spare time, he does inferential statistics in biological and clinical psychology.
Chris Gray, Associate Editor
Chris Gray is President of Gray Research, one of the founders of Partners For Excellence, and one of the founders of Worldwide Excellence Partners (WWXP).
During his consulting career, he has also been associated with both R. D. Garwood, Inc. and The Oliver Wight Companies. Chris has authored or co-authored 6 books, as well as dozens of published
software evaluations, and articles on ERP, enterprise software, and computers in manufacturing. He conducts seminars and workshops as well as provides consulting to teams implementing S&OP, resource planning and lean execution methods. His international consulting practice includes a number of Class A companies.
Chris has a Bachelors (BA) degree in mathematics from Washington and Jefferson College and a Masters (MS) degree in mathematics from Carnegie Mellon University.
Roy Batchelor, Financial Forecasting Column Editor
Roy Batchelor is Professor of Banking and Finance at the Cass Business School, City University of London. His chess prowess once earned him a reputation as a Scotland international chess player, but he is now regularly defeated by his smartphone.
Mike Gilliland, Forecasting Practice Column Editor
Michael Gilliland has over 15 years of forecasting experience in the food, apparel, and consumer electronics industries, and is currently Marketing Manager for SAS forecasting software. In addition to serving a Forecasting Practice Column Editor, Mike is a member of Foresight’s Advisory Board.
He is also author of The Business Forecasting Deal, and co-editor of the forthcoming Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions. Mike has published articles in Supply Chain Management Review, Journal of Business Forecasting, Analytics, Supply Chain Forecasting Digest, APICS Magazine, Swiss Analytics Magazine, and in Foresight. He holds a BA in Philosophy from Michigan State University, and Master’s degrees in Philosophy and Mathematical Sciences from Johns Hopkins University. Follow his blog The Business Forecasting Deal at blogs.sas.com/content/forecasting.
Paul Goodwin, Hot New Research Column Editor
Paul Goodwin is Emeritus Professor of Management Science at the University of Bath. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and his research is concerned with methods for incorporating management judgment into forecasts to improve accuracy. He has provided forecasting advice to many organizations and in 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters. Until 2015 he was an Editor of the International Journal of Forecasting.
Andreas Graefe, Prediction Markets Column Editor
Andreas is LMU Research Fellow associated with the Department of Communication Science and Media Research at the Ludwig-Maximilian University LMU Munich and Foresight Editor for Prediction Markets.
John Mello, S&OP Column Editor
John E. Mello (PhD, Tennessee) is a professor of supply chain management and Director, Center for Supply Chain Management, at Arkansas State University. Prior to entering academia, he spent 28 years in the consumer-packaged-goods industry in various supply chain management positions. His research has been published in Journal of Business Logistics, Journal of Supply Chain Management, Transportation Journal, International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management, Transportation Research Part E, Journal of Business Forecasting, and Foresight, where he serves as S&OP Editor. John is also coauthor with Shane Hunt of the textbook Marketing (McGraw-Hill, 2014).
Fotios Petropoulos, Forecasting Support Systems Column Editor
Fotios is an Associate Professor at the School of Management, University of Bath. Previously he served as an Assistant Professor at the Cardiff Business School of Cardiff University, Senior Research Associate at the Lancaster University Centre for Forecasting (2012-2014) and Research Associate and Unit Coordinator of the Forecasting & Strategy Unit of National Technical University of Athens (NTUA) from 2003 to 2012. His research program has addressed behavioural aspects of forecasting and forecast process improvement in business and supply chain. He has provided knowledge transfer and consultancy in Retail, Supply Chain, Spare Parts, Utilities and Software Development. Fotios is the Forecasting Support Systems Editor of Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting and Associate Editor of International Journal of Forecasting. Lastly, he is co-founder of the Forecasting Society, which promotes and disseminates judgmental forecasting research and its applications.
Ira Sohn, Strategic Forecasting Column Editor
Ira Sohn has been a professor of economics and finance at Montclair State University in New Jersey since 1984. Before that he worked closely with Nobel Laureate Wassily Leontief on long-term global projections of energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. Over the last decade, in addition to serving as Editor of Longe Range Forecasting for Foresight, he assessed these forecasts — made 30 years ago — in light of the economic, financial, technological, and demographic changes that we have witnessed in the global economy.
Aris Syntetos, Supply Chain Forecasting Column Editor
Aris Syntetos is Professor of Operational Research and Operations Management at Cardiff University and Supply Chain Forecasting editor for Foresight. He also serves on the Executive Committee of the International Society for Inventories Research (ISIR) and on the Board of Directors of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF), publisher of Foresight. Aris has advised many businesses on supply chain forecasting and inventory management.
Foresight Advisory Board
Carolyn Allmon, Detector Electronics Corporation
Carolyn Allmon is a Certified Professional Forecaster (CPF) with extensive experience creating, leading and improving demand and revenue forecasting modeling and processes in both public and private organizations. The State of Minnesota, Tennant Company, ConAgra Foods and Zimmer Spine are among her past employers. Currently, she is responsible for Demand Planning at Detector Electronics Corporation.
Ms. Allmon holds a B. A. degree in Mathematics from Augsburg College and an M.A. in Economics from the University of Hawaii. Her writing appears in a number of forecasting-related publications including the International Journal of Forecasting, Foresight and Business Economics.
Daniel Barrett, The LEGO Group
Daniel has been with The LEGO Group since 2006, when he started out as a Forecast Analyst in the UK. He now heads up the Global Demand Planning Center of Excellence team, governing processes and systems while driving innovation in this area across the business. He is a passionate forecasting practitioner specializing in how different inputs to the demand plan are integrated and aligned to create the best possible prediction of demand to downstream supply chain processes.
Ellen Bonnell, Head of Global Statistical Forecasting, Hilti
Ellen Bonnell is the Head of Global Statistical Forecasting at Hilti, responsible for the forecasts that support Sales and Operations Planning in every region on the planet. Ellen leads a team that provides not just sales forecasts for Supply Chain, but also analytics and insights for the Demand Chain. Ellen’s unique approach to forecasting is a combination of time series models, multivariate insights, marketing intelligence, an understanding that every business is unique and the practicalities of working with data that is never perfect. She is well known for her approach to measuring forecast quality as well as her ability to deliver highly accurate, small frequency forecasts for time periods less than a day. Ellen is the author of one of the most widely praised articles in Foresight, “How to Get Good Forecasts from Bad Data” [Issue 7, Summer 2007].
Ellen completed her Bachelor of Science in Business Economics at Indiana University and Master of Science, Supply Chain Management at University College Dublin, Michael Smurfit Graduate School of Business. Ellen is currently based in Manchester, United Kingdom.
Peter Catt, Director, Soltius
Dr. Peter Catt is a Director of Soltius, New Zealand’s largest SAP channel partner. Peter has more than 25 years’ experience in business management, predictive analytics and sales forecasting in a variety of industries including pharmaceutical manufacture, food processing, building products and retail. Peter also has an in-depth understanding of SAP Business Intelligence from a business perspective and works with clients to support their strategic business needs.
Peter holds a Doctorate in Computing (univariate forecasting) and a MBA from Henley Management College. In addition to his position on the Practitioner’s Advisory Board for Foresight, Peter is also on the Editorial board of the International Journal of Management and Enterprise Development (IJMED).
Simon Clarke, Director of Forecasting, Coca-Cola Refreshments
Simon Clarke is the Group Director of Forecasting at Coca-Cola Refreshments. He is responsible for a team of 30+ professionals tasked with volume and revenue forecasting for the US. He led the centralization of the forecasting group into a single Center of Excellence, standardizing processes and tools. With experience in supply chain, finance, revenue management and sales & marketing, he has spent the past decade working to develop and improve the effectiveness and efficiency of the forecast practice. Originally from the UK, Simon has been based in Atlanta for the last 15 years.
Robert Fildes, Lancaster Centre for Forecasting
Robert Fildes is Distinguished Professor of Management Science in the School of Management, Lancaster University and Director of the Lancaster Centre for Forecasting. He has a mathematics degree from Oxford and a Ph.D. from the University of California in Statistics. His initial academic appointment was to the Manchester Business School where he rose to the position of faculty dean. In 1990 he joined Lancaster University Department of Management Science which in an earlier guise was the professional home of Gwilym Jenkins. There he set up the Lancaster Centre for Forecasting which focuses on researching business forecasting problems.
Alec Finney, Managing Director, Pharma Forecast Insight
Alec Finney has many years of experience in research, logistics, business development, and forecasting – latterly as Strategic Forecasting Manger with AstraZeneca. He then became Principal at Rivershill Consultancy – providing forecasting and planning audits to the Pharma business.
In April 2015 he launched Pharma Forecast Insight, which – uniquely – brings together numerical output and contextual narrative to help investment decision making in the pharma space.
In addition to his position on Foresight’s Advisory Board, Alec regularly speaks at and chairs forecasting conferences in both Europe and the USA. In his spare time, he collects Art Deco antiques and follows the Liverpool FC with passion.
Ram Ganeshan, Professor of Business, College of William & Mary
Ram Ganeshan holds the D. Hillsdon Ryan Professorship of Business at the College of William & Mary. Ram’s research and consulting interests are in the areas of supply chain management, data analytics, and logistics strategy, primarily in the chemical, hi-tech, and retail industries. He is a regular contributor to academic and trade journals and is the co-editor of two books: Quantitative Models for Supply Chain Management and New Directions in Supply Chain Management: Technology, Strategy, and Implementation. In 2001, the Production & Operations Management Society (POMS) awarded him the prestigious “Wickham Skinner Award for Early Career Accomplishments” for his research on how supply chains can be efficiently managed.
In addition to his academic appointment, Ram is active in several corporate advisory Boards, helping these companies embrace the latest developments in supply chain management and digital strategies.
James Hoover, Managing Director, Analytics, Accenture
Jim Hoover spent 25 years in the Navy, 14 of those years as an operations researcher in the Navy’s and DoD’s Supply Chains. In addition to serving in ships, submarines and with Naval Aviation activities, he held supply chain operations research positions at the Naval Inventory Control Point, Navy Headquarters, Defense Logistics Agency and Naval Supply System Headquarters. In the last 8 years, Jim has been working for Accenture, focusing on improved inventory management and forecasting practices as well as leading its Analytics Consulting Practice, supporting the federal government. He has also written about the use of automatic forecasting software in Scott Armstrong’s book “Principles of Forecasting.” He is currently working on his Doctorate of Business Administration at the University of Florida and is expected to graduate in August 2017.
Jeffrey Hunt, SHEA Business Solutions
Jeffrey Hunt is the Chair of the Foresight Practitioner Advisory Board. Jeff has been solving supply, demand, and financial problems over the last 25 years. His practical experience was gained as an entrepreneur who acquired a highly seasonal consumer manufacturing business and tripled revenues through statistical forecasting of existing and new sales while driving down costs and cash requirements with inventory and production optimization. Jeff now provides solutions to his clients in manufacturing and distribution primarily focusing on aerospace, automotive, industrial supplies, consumer supplies, and food processing. His company, SHEA Business Solutions, also provides analytics, financial forecasting and planning services. Jeff obtained both his undergraduate and graduate degrees at Concordia University in Montreal, Quebec.
Jamilya Kasymova, Manager of Strategic Projects & Forecasting of Global Reservation Sales and Customer Care, Marriott International
Jamilya Kasymova is Manager of Strategic Projects & Forecasting of Global Reservation Sales and Customer Care at Marriott International. She holds a PhD in Applied Mathematics from Novosibirsk State University, Russia and an MBA from the University of Nebraska at Omaha. She seems to enjoy weather extremes, first from the bitter cold of Siberia to the sweltering days in Uzbekistan, and now the extremes of Omaha – bitter winters, hot and humid summers and tireless winds.
Mark Little, Senior Director of Research and Development, SAS Institute
Mark Little joined SAS Institute in 1983, and over the past 32 years has held the positions of Software Developer, Senior Research Statistician, Manager of Econometrics and Time Series R&D, and now Sr. Director of Advanced Analytics, Economics Technology Solutions R&D. Mark is responsible for the development of SAS/ETS software, SAS Institute’s product for econometric modeling and time series analysis. In addition to responsibility for the development of SAS’s econometrics and time series product, Mark for many years led the development of SAS’s products for time series forecasting. He also initiated and led the development of SAS’s Risk Dimensions product for financial risk management and OpRisk VaR product for operational risk management, and he served as the principal architect of the early versions of those products. Prior to joining SAS Institute, Mark Little was an Associate Economist with the Economic Analysis and Forecasting department of Virginia Electric and Power Company (now Dominion Resources) in Richmond Virginia.
Joseph McConnell, Founder and CEO, McConnell Chase Software Works
Joseph McConnell is founder and CEO of McConnell Chase Software Works, which supplies software solutions in demand management and executive sales and operations planning. McConnell is a frequent expert panelist at the Forecasting Summits and is a member of Foresight’s Practitioner Advisory Board. His colleagues have applauded his exceptional taste in Australian Shiraz.
Mark Moon, Associate Professor, University of Tennessee, Knoxville
Mark A. Moon is an Associate Professor and the Department Head in the Department of Marketing and Supply Chain Management at the Haslam College of Business, University of Tennessee, Knoxville. Dr. Moon’s research interests are in demand management, demand forecasting, buyer-seller relationships, and business integration. He is the author of Demand and Supply Integration: The Key to World Class Demand Forecasting, (Financial Times Press), as well as numerous academic and practitioner publications.
Dr. Moon has consulted with over 50 companies on demand forecasting and supply chain strategy, including ConAgra, DuPont, Michelin, Whirlpool, Lockheed-Martin, Nissan North America, Johnson & Johnson, and Pfizer. In addition, Dr. Moon has delivered executive education programs for numerous companies, including Honeywell, Coca-Cola, and Goodyear.
Steve Morlidge, Satori Partners
Steve has 30 years of practical experience in designing and running performance management systems as a Finance professional at Unilever, and is author of Future Ready: How to Master Business Forecasting. His book is aimed at a general business audience but he has also contributed articles to Foresight on forecastability, FVA and other technical subjects. Steve is the creator of ForecastQT, a forecasting performance management application in the Cloud, which exploits the insights and innovations described in his articles.
David Orrell, Principal, Systems Forecasting
David Orrell is an applied mathematician, and writer of books on science and economics. He studied mathematics at the University of Alberta and obtained his D.Phil. from Oxford University. He is principal at Systems Forecasting, which specializes in applying mathematical models to a variety of forecasting problems, and is on the Scientific Advisory Board of the computational biology company Physiomics. His books include “The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction,” and “Truth or Beauty: Science and the Quest for Order.” He also frequently writes articles and speaks about forecasting.
John (Jack) Pope, President, Investment Economics
Jack is president of Investment Economics, a developer of decision-oriented investment systems and data analytics. He is also an adjunct professor of Computer Science in the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities system, where he teaches a variety of programming courses and leads the MnSCU Data Analytics Network. Long ago, Jack was a fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research.
Christian Schäfer, Professor of Quantitative Management, DHBW
Before switching back to academia, Christian held several strategic positions in the Pharmaceutical Industry. Christian holds a PhD in Business Administration from Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz / Germany. Recently he published an article in the International Journal of Market Research on the topic “Applying the Bass model to pharmaceuticals in emerging markets.” Further, he published an article on another pharma topic “How to Separate Risk from Uncertainty within Strategic Forecasting” in 2013 in Foresight. Christian runs co-operative projects and seminars on strategic pharmaceutical forecasting topics.
Jerry Shan, Chief Data Scientist, Distinguished Technologist, and Cloud and Big Data Architect, Huawei Technologies Co, Inc.
Before joining Huawei in March 2016, Jerry was the Chief Data Scientist in Hewlett-Packard’s Vertica Big Data Business, and prior to that, he was a Principal Scientist in HP Labs. Jerry earned a PhD in statistics from Stanford University in 1995, and has obtained 25 granted US patents on predictive analytics, detection, data analysis and modeling. Jerry is the leading author of past articles in Foresight on life-cycle forecasting for new products (Summer 2008) and spare-parts forecasting (Summer 2009).
Sujit Singh, Chief Operating Officer, Arkieva
Sujit is the COO of Arkieva, a supply chain solutions company that creates configurable software for demand and inventory management, Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP), supply planning and scheduling. He is responsible for managing product delivery and implementations services, customer relationships and the day-to-day operations of the corporation. His industry experience includes work in the semiconductor, chemicals, and glass (industrial and commercial) industries.
Sujit is a recognized subject matter expert in both forecasting and S&OP. He received a Bachelor of Technology degree in Civil Engineering from the Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur and an M.S. in Transportation Engineering from the University of Massachusetts. Sujit is also certified in Production and Inventory Management and is a certified Supply Chain Professional by APICS, the Association for Operations Management.
Eric Stellwagen, CEO and Co-founder, Business Forecast Systems, Inc.
Eric Stellwagen is the CEO and co-founder of Business Forecast Systems, Inc., a market-leading firm focused on providing software solutions and education to business forecasters. He is the co-author of the Forecast Pro software product line, which is currently in use at more than 25,000 companies worldwide. He consults widely in the area of practical business forecasting for numerous firms including Coca-Cola, Kraft, Merck, Nabisco, Owens-Corning and Verizon.
He has presented seminars and workshops on behalf of many respected organizations including the Institute for Professional Education, the American Production and Inventory Control Society, the University of Wisconsin, the University of Tennessee, the Institute for Business Forecasting, the World Research Group, the International Institute of Research, the Electric Power Research Institute, the International Communications Forecasting Association, the Forecasting Summit and the International Institute of Forecasters. Stellwagen received his B.A. in Mathematics from Oberlin College in 1984 and has spent the last 30 years working in the field of business forecasting.
Bill Tonetti, President and Co-founder, Demand Works
Bill Tonetti is President and co-founder of Demand Works, a software and services company that focuses on forecasting, demand and inventory planning, and S&OP. Tonetti has more than two decades of experience in supply-chain operations, consulting and general management and holds an MBA from the University of Virginia.
John Unger, Demand Planning Manager, Boise White Paper
John Unger is the Demand Planning Manager for Boise White Paper, LLC. John holds a BS in project management from George Fox University, as well as CPIM and CSCP certifications from APICS. He has been instrumental in advancing Boise’s sales and operations planning processes, which have been recognized as an exemplary S&OP model. Over the past five years, John has led the development and implementation of Boise’s forecasting systems and processes, enabling successful collaboration and planning across three business units, improvement in forecast accuracy, and the condensing of multiple siloed business forecasts into a one-number forecast deployed for S&OP.
Tom Willemain, Professor Emeritus of Industrial and Systems Engineering, RPI
Tom Willemain earned the BSE in electrical engineering from Princeton (summa cum laude) in 1969 and the PhD in electrical engineering from MIT in 1972. He recently retired from an academic career spent at MIT, Harvard and Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and currently serves as Professor Emeritus of Industrial and Systems Engineering at RPI. He is also co-founder and Senior Vice President/Research at Smart Software, Inc. and an expert statistical consultant to the US Department of Defense.